The Battle For Montreal; Prediction

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Tomorrow night arguably the biggest fight in Canadian history will be taking place. Lucian Bute (31-1 24 KOs) will face Jean Pascal (28-2-1 17 KOs) in a light heavyweight fight. The fight is being held at the historic Bell Centre where both men have regularly drawn raucous sell out crowds. The winner of this fight will be in line to face either fellow countryman Adonis Stevenson or the hard punching Sergey Kovalev.

Bute is coming off a 12-round unanimous decision victory over the battle tested Denis Grachev. The fight served as a tune-up after Bute was blitzed by Carl Froch in only five rounds. Many boxing insiders believe that Froch exposed Bute’s biggest weakness, which is his extremely shaky chin.

Pascal is coming off a 5th round TKO of journeyman George Blades. This marked his second straight win following his disappointing two fights with the immortal Bernard Hopkins. Pascal’s career has been delayed many times due to his chronic shoulder injuries. His most recent injury came in the form of a torn Rota-tor Cuff against Aleksy Kuziemski.

Both men have had their fare share of struggles lately and each has a glaring weakness they will need to overcome. Bute’s Achilles heal is his poor chin. He did a very poor job of protecting it against Carl Froch’s mauling style, which was very similar to the way in which Pascal fights. Pascal’s downfall has always been his very poor stamina. He faded late against Bernard Hopkins and Chad Dawson. Should Bute manage to get past the 6th round, Pascal will almost certainly start to fade.

Stamina issues aside, I think this is a fight Pascal should win. He is a hard puncher who throws from awkward angles and Bute has shown an inability to handle pressure, evidenced by his fights with Carl Froch and Librado Andrade. I expect Pascal’s technique and stamina to be improved by his time spent in the Mayweather gym and he will be looking to make a big statement in this fight. My pick is Pascal by stoppage in the middle rounds.

What do you think of this pick? Who do you think will win? Let me know in the comments section below.

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